February 3, 2023

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Interim election results – The New York Times

Democrats defied expectations in the midterm elections, perhaps defending enough seats to retain control of the Senate but probably not enough to keep Republicans from taking over the House of Representatives. The battle for power in Congress was too close to call this morning.

The night’s biggest Democrat victory came in the Pennsylvania Senate race, where John Fetterman defeated Dr. Mehmet Oz defeated to turn over the seat held by retiring Republican Pat Toomey. Three other races crucial to the Senate control outcome — Arizona, Georgia and Nevada — were too close to call. The Democrats running for all three seats will likely need to win two to retain the Senate; Republicans need to pick two to take over.

We may not have known who won the Senate for a while: Georgia’s contest appears to be headed for a runoff to be held in December. (See the latest Senate findings.)

In the House of Representatives, Republicans are favored to take control, but they appear to be on the right track, less than many political observers expecting to do so. The Times predicts that Republicans will eventually get 224 seats, just above the 218 required for a majority. That result would be the weakest showing by the president’s opposing party in a midterm election since 2002. “This is not the night the Republicans wanted,” wrote Nate Cohn, the Times’ chief political analyst. “The party underperforms almost everywhere.” (See the latest House results.)

For President Biden, a Republican-controlled House is ruining his chances of passing the rest of his agenda over the next two years. Retaining the Senate would allow Democrats to continue approving Biden’s nominations for his administration and the courts.

Here we are:

Many of Donald Trump’s most prominent endorsements came up short. He made brief remarks at a Mar-a-Lago party last night and made no mention of DeSantis, a potential 2024 rival.

America is exiting these midterms essentially as it began, writes Lisa Lerer of the Times: a divided country that remains anchored to a narrow segment of the political spectrum.

It can take days to get all the results. Here is a possible schedule.

Many of the biggest competitions are too close to call. Here are the rest of the big races:

Georgia: Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent, is leading Herschel Walker, the Trump-backed former soccer star, but the race appeared headed for a Dec. 6 runoff.

Nevada: The race between Catherine Cortez Masto, a one-term Democratic incumbent, and Adam Laxalt, the ball-busting former state attorney general, remained too close. Many ballot papers have yet to be counted.

Arizona: Mark Kelly, the Democratic incumbent, led a Trump-backed venture capitalist, according to the Times Blake Masters voting pin. The race leaned toward Kelly.

Wisconsin: Ron Johnson, the incumbent Republican, narrowly led Mandela Barnes, the Democratic lieutenant governor.

Republicans retained their seats in Ohio, where JD Vance, a critic-turned-Trump advocate, defeated Tim Ryan, a Democratic member of Congress, and in North Carolina, where Ted Budd, a Republican member of Congress, defeated Cheri Beasley defeated , the former chief justice of the state’s Democrats.

Maggie Hassan, a two-year Democratic incumbent in New Hampshire, easily beat Don Bolduc, a retired Republican army general who had challenged the 2020 election results.

Before the election, Democrats had a narrow majority in the House of Representatives: 220 to 212. Republicans had to win 19 contested seats to take control. So far they have won five. Democrats would need to win 46 to retain control and have claimed 19.

Republicans swapped seats in New Jersey and Virginia. In New York’s Hudson Valley, Mike Lawler led Sean Patrick Maloney, campaign manager for the Democratic House of Representatives.

Marjorie Taylor Greene, once a political pariah, slid to victory in her mostly Republican district.

Democrats flipped Republican-held House seats in Ohio and Michigan, holding onto vulnerable seats in Virginia, New Hampshire and elsewhere.

Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat, won re-election in an Ohio district that was redrawn in favor of the Republicans. She is set to become the longest-serving woman in Congressional history.

Mary Peltola, a Democrat and the first Alaskan Native elected to Congress, was ahead of Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich in Alaska’s only House election.

Vermont elected Becca Balint, a progressive Democrat, as her only seat in the House of Representatives, becoming the last US state to send a woman to Congress.

Maxwell Frost, a 25-year-old Democrat, becomes the first Gen Z member of Congress after winning a seat in the Florida House of Representatives.

Heading into Election Day, Republicans controlled 28 governor’s mansions while Democrats controlled 22. The Democrats flipped the governorships of Maryland and Massachusetts. Some notable races:

Florida: DeSantis historically won Democratic parts of the state and gave his party an unusually strong performance. The results could improve his prospects as a potential presidential candidate for 2024.

Arizona: The race between Kari Lake, a former TV news anchor who falsely claimed Trump won the 2020 election, and Katie Hobbs, the Democratic secretary of state, went unannounced.

New York: Kathy Hochul won a full term, beating Lee Zeldin, a Republican congressman, in one of the closest races in the state in decades.

Maine: Gov. Janet Mills, a Democrat, won a second term, defeating Paul LePage, the Republican former governor.

Michigan: Incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer defeated Trump-backed Tudor Dixon.

Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana. Similar efforts failed in Arkansas and North Dakota.

Washington, DC voted overwhelmingly to increase the minimum wage for tip workers.

Voting initiatives to limit forced prison labor passed in Alabama, Tennessee, and Vermont and failed in Louisiana. The Oregon results were too early to call.

“Big winners tonight: Biden, who lost far fewer congressional seats than the historical average; reproductive rights, which are proving to be an important issue among voters; Democracy, with huge voter turnout and many high-profile abstainers who lose big.” — Mark Updegrovehistorian

“There was no red wave. This is a sharp indictment of the Republican Party. This is a sharp indictment of the message we sent to voters.” — Marc ThiessenWashington Post columnist and Fox News commentator

“If you’re worried about the health of our democracy, it seems pretty good that we had a large turnout – implying that both sides believe their votes actually matter.” – Farhad Manjoo, Times Opinion columnist

“Voters didn’t necessarily want to shift the country left or right. They were worried about how our country feels like it’s unraveling. They were looking for a safe harbor in the storm.” — Kristen Soltis AndersonRepublican pollster

“The Dems have a Florida problem, but the Republicans have a Trump problem. That seems harder to solve.” — Jens Psakiformer press secretary for Biden

Leading Artist: Revisiting Winston Churchill’s Paintings.

Stolen Rolex: A highly dramatic divorce in the Italian football royal family.

Full body workout: You can do it in 20 minutes.

Lives Lives: Evelyn de Rothschild, heiress to a European banking dynasty, could have been a playboy. Instead, he joined the family business and helped transform the British economy. He died at 91.